Match Info

Date: 23 September 2021, Thursday


	CS Alagoano		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.5
	2.88	2.8	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.55
	3.12	2.96	2.67
	2.9	2.87	2.5
	3	3.06	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.12)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)	2.53 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
31.4%

Draw
31.9%

Botafogo RJ
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

31.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

22.6%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	28%	32%

CS Alagoano - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Botafogo will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSA: 20.8% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

CSA is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Botafogo is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches CSA won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.21	Londrina - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
07.09.21	Guarani - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
03.09.21	CS Alagoano - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Sampaio Corrêa - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
24.08.21	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTLL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.21	Botafogo RJ - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Botafogo RJ - Londrina	4:0 ✺
04.09.21	Remo - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
27.08.21	Coritiba - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
22.08.21	Botafogo RJ - Vila Nova	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.07.21	Botafogo RJ - CS Alagoano	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
21.10.19	Botafogo RJ - CS Alagoano	2:1
09.06.19	CS Alagoano - Botafogo RJ	1:2

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