Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)


	CS Alagoano		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.2
	1.79	3.15	4.75
	1.91	3.05	4.2
	1.95	3.15	4.84
	1.95	3	4.33
	1.92	3.14	4.33
	1.92	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.76)	3.1 ↑ (2.93)	4.41 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
48.9%

Draw
30%

Vila Nova
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

31%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.5%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	29.4%	23.5%

CS Alagoano - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSA: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 12).

CSA is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match CSA is a favorite.

There will not play in CSA: Cedric (Injury) Clayton (Injury) Ernandes (Injury) Lucas Barcelos (Injury) Werley (Injury)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Matheus Mancini (Injury) Sousa (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches CSA won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
20.10.22	Ponte Preta - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
14.10.22	CS Alagoano - Londrina	0:1 ✺
07.10.22	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
04.10.22	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
30.09.22	CS Alagoano - Guarani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
22.10.22	Bahia - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
14.10.22	Vila Nova - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
04.10.22	Vila Nova - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
30.09.22	Operário Ferroviario - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.07.22	Vila Nova - CS Alagoano	1:2
03.09.21	CS Alagoano - Vila Nova	1:1
12.06.21	Vila Nova - CS Alagoano	1:0
11.09.18	CS Alagoano - Vila Nova	1:2
01.06.18	Vila Nova - CS Alagoano	0:1

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