Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Londrina		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	2.05	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.19	3.3	3.3
	4.14	3.32	1.88	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	2.17	3.27	3.32	Watch
	1.81	3.28	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.86)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.44 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
41.8%

Draw
30.2%

CS Alagoano
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Londrina's form might have worsened.

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Londrina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Londrina - CS Alagoano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - CSA (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Londrina will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Londrina will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Londrina (votes: 5 - 83.3%). CSA (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 14. Cedric 9. Eliel 50. Iago Teles (C) 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 10. Robson Duarte 7. Vitinho 4. Wallace 3. Yago Lincoln	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 3. Betao 10. Brayann 5. Camacho (C) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 4. Luiz Gustavo 6. Roberto 7. Silas 9. Tiago Marques
Substitutes
20. Caio Rafael 12. Elzo Neto (G) 13. Guilherme Ferreira 23. Gustavo Santos 17. Henrique 16. Joao Tavares 2. Joao Vitor 15. Marco Antonio 19. Quirino 22. Rikelmi 21. Thauan 18. Ze Breno	18. Adiel 22. Cavalleri M. 14. Diogo Batista 12. Georgemy (G) 19. Igor Bahia 15. Kevyn 13. Leo Costa 20. Luciano Naninho 17. Marcelinho 16. Ramon 99. Robinho 21. Vander
Coaches
Roger Silva	Higo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Tiago Marques ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Lucas Marques ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Iago Teles (Pen),
37', Betao 🟥,
39', Brayann 🟨,
42', Alison 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Kevyn ↑,
46', Silas ↓, Ramon ↑,
60', Robson Duarte ↓, Henrique ↑,
60', Lucas Marques ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
64', Tiago Marques ↓, Robinho ↑,
64', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Adiel ↑,
67', Vitinho ↓, Ze Breno ↑,
71', Ze Breno 🟨,
74', Felipe Albuquerque 🟨,
83', Eliel ↓, Quirino ↑,
83', Iago Teles ↓, Rikelmi ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Quirino ⚽,
87', Alison 🟥,
90+1', Adiel 🟨,
90+2', Robinho 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1.

Londrina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

CSA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Londrina is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
19.07.25	Londrina - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Botafogo PB - Londrina	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Londrina - Guarani	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Retrô Brasil - Londrina	0:4 ✺
15.06.25	Londrina - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
20.07.25	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
14.07.25	Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	CS Alagoano - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.25	CS Alagoano - Caxias	2:3 ✺
28.06.25	Guarani - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
06.05.24	Londrina - CS Alagoano	2:2
Brazilian Serie B
14.10.22	CS Alagoano - Londrina	0:1
02.07.22	Londrina - CS Alagoano	0:0
18.09.21	Londrina - CS Alagoano	0:2
20.06.21	CS Alagoano - Londrina	1:0
04.09.18	CS Alagoano - Londrina	4:1
19.05.18	Londrina - CS Alagoano	1:2

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