Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Guarani		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.87	3.7
	1.97	3.07	4.32
				Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.6
	1.93	3	4.57	Watch
	1.94	3.3	3.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)	3 ↓ (3.15)	3.95 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
46.2%

Draw
30.6%

CS Alagoano
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

30.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Guarani - CS Alagoano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guarani will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guarani will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrey Ventura (G) 4. Alan Santos (C) 9. Bruno Santos 2. Cicinho 10. Diego Torres 6. Emerson 11. Isaque 5. Mateus Sarara 8. Nathan Camargo 3. Raphael 7. Rian Kelvi	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 18. Baianinho 3. Betao 5. Camacho (C) 6. Enzo 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 4. Marcao 2. Ramon 7. Silas 9. Tiago Marques
Substitutes
13. Allyson 19. Deni Junior 12. Emerson Junior (G) . Giva 21. Kaua Jesus 15. Lucas Flor 22. Lucas Justen 17. Mirandinha 20. Pablo 14. Silva D. 16. Vitinho	10. Brayann 17. Cavalleri M. 14. Felipe Albuquerque 12. Georgemy (G) 19. Igor Bahia 15. Kevyn 16. Leo Costa 20. Luciano Naninho 13. Luiz Gustavo 22. Marcelinho 26. Roberto
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Higo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Rian Kelvi 🟨,
24', Silas 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Bruno Santos ⚽,
32', Isaque 🟨,
33', 🟨,
36', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
41', Cicinho 🟨,
43', Baianinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rian Kelvi ↓, Allyson ↑,
46', Baianinho ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
46', Silas ↓, Brayann ↑,
64', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
69', Mateus Sarara ↓, Giva ↑,
69', Isaque ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
71', Enzo ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
72', Alan Santos ↓, Silva D. ↑,
79', 🟨,
79', Emerson ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Guarani has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guarani will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.25	Guarani - Itabaiana	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Retrô Brasil - Guarani	0:2 ✺
26.05.25	Guarani - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Floresta - Guarani	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Guarani - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTL
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
16.06.25	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.06.25	América RN - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
02.06.25	São Bernardo - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.09.22	CS Alagoano - Guarani	1:2
19.06.22	Guarani - CS Alagoano	0:0
07.09.21	Guarani - CS Alagoano	1:0
15.06.21	CS Alagoano - Guarani	1:1

Guarani - CS Alagoano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide