Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	CS Alagoano		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.15	Watch
	3.5	2.85	2.1
	3.1	2.95	2.23	Watch
	3.25	3.05	2.21
	3.49	3.17	2.32
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.24	3.24	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.91)	3.04 ↑ (2.96)	2.22 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
27.8%

Draw
30.5%

Cuiabá
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

31.2%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

22.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cuiabá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CS Alagoano - Cuiabá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

CSA has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cuiabá is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cuiabá will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches CSA won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
13.09.20	Osasco Sporting - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
05.09.20	CS Alagoano - Confiança	1:1 ✺
02.09.20	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
30.08.20	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
21.08.20	Ponte Preta - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.20	Cuiabá - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
05.09.20	Vitória Salvador - Cuiabá	4:2 ✺
01.09.20	Botafogo SP - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
28.08.20	Cuiabá - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
22.08.20	Avaí - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
09.09.17	Cuiabá - CS Alagoano	1:1
09.07.17	CS Alagoano - Cuiabá	0:0

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