Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	DAZN Brasil


	CS Alagoano		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	2.1	2.85	3.65	Watch
	2.2	3.05	4.26
	2.17	2.78	4.09	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.51	Watch
	2.1	2.85	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.86)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	3.79 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
44.3%

Draw
31.3%

Náutico Capibaribe
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CSA (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 3. Betao 10. Brayann 5. Camacho (C) 6. Enzo 2. Felipe Albuquerque 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 7. Klenisson 4. Marcao 9. Tiago Marques	19. Muriel Becker (G) 18. Auremir 33. Carlinhos 5. Igor Pereira 40. Joao Maistro 12. Kelvin 6. Luiz Paulo 17. Marcos Ytalo 20. Patrick Allan 9. Paulo Sergio (C) 7. Vinicius
Substitutes
20. Alvaro 12. Georgemy (G) 13. Islan 15. Kevyn 31. Paulo V. (G) 14. Ramon 16. Roberto 22. Robinho 17. Silas 21. Vieira G.	2. Arnaldo 80. Bruno Mezenga 10. Caio Vitor 16. Felipe Santana 11. Helio Borges 23. Igor Fernandes 27. Kauan Maranhao 8. Marco Antonio 3. Rayan 1. Wellerson R. (G) 22. Wenderson
Coaches
Higo	Marquinhos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Igor Pereira ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Tiago Marques ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
45+1', Marco Antonio 🟨,
45+4', Joao Maistro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Klenisson ↓, Baianinho ↑,
46', Marcao ↓, Islan ↑,
61', Kelvin ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
61', Joao Maistro ↓, Rayan ↑,
65', Marco Antonio 🟨,
67', Patrick Allan ↓, Wenderson ↑,
67', Marcos Ytalo ↓, Arnaldo ↑,
68', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
72', Arnaldo 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Igor Bahia ⚽,
78', Tiago Marques ↓, Kevyn ↑,
82', Igor Bahia 🟨,
82', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Roberto ↑,
90+3', Paulo Sergio 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches CSA won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

CSA will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches CSA won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:9 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:6 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
21.04.25	ABC - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	CS Alagoano - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
06.04.25	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	CS Alagoano - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
23.03.25	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano	3:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTWTL
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
19.04.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.03.25	Náutico Capibaribe - América RN	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.03.25	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.02.25	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	4:1
Brazilian Serie C
04.08.24	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2
06.08.23	Náutico Capibaribe - CS Alagoano	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
19.05.22	Náutico Capibaribe - CS Alagoano	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.02.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1
Brazilian Serie B
24.08.21	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1

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