Match Info

efbet League - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)

Referee: Minev V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Dunav Ruse

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.37	4.75	7.00
	1.32	4.8	7.4
	1.34	5.2	8.91
	1.41	4.57	7.42	Watch
	1.32	5	8.75
	1.32	5.19	8.41	Watch
	1.35	4.7	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)	4.93 ↓ (4.99)	7.99 ↓ (8.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
69.5%

Draw
18.9%

Dunav Ruse
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

18.6%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

14.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Dunav Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSKA 1948 Sofia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Dunav Ruse Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA 1948 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: CSKA 1948 Sofia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bozhev A. (G) 22. Gasevic O. 3. Dvali L. 33. Cuellar H. 2. Medina D. 67. Frederic 8. Zemzemi M. 30. Meyer J. 11. Rusev G. 9. Iliev A. 93. Diallo M.	33. Kitanov G. (G) 22. Predev S. 4. Cabarcas Perez J. C. 39. Alves A. 23. Saint-Louis J. 10. Boychev K. 14. Apostolov R. 44. Vidakovic V. 88. Todorov D. 9. Valino A. 11. Minchev D.
Substitutes
5. Benamar B. 77. Franco E. 96. Grivic D. 4. Hoffmann A. 70. Iliev K. 23. Krebs F. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 20. Sobrero B. 14. Strinski K. 10. Tsonev B.	36. Appiah C. 51. Budinov I. 2. Dilchovski M. 24. Gavrilov S. 18. Keita I. 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 77. Simeonov A. 78. Sou E. 19. Stefanov S. 6. Yovkov S.
Coaches
Aleksandrov A.	Lukanov E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Diallo M. ⚽, Frederic (A),
24', Vidakovic V. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Frederic ↓, Sobrero B. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Saint-Louis J. ⚽,
66', Vidakovic V. ↓, Gavrilov S. ↑,
72', Diallo M. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
72', Meyer J. ↓, Tsonev B. ↑,
79', Boychev K. ↓, Sou E. ↑,
79', Valino A. ↓, Keita I. ↑,
80', Zemzemi M. ↓, Krebs F. ↑,
80', Medina D. ↓, Grivic D. ↑,
89', Todorov D. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Grivic D. ⚽,
90+1', Apostolov R. ↓, Appiah C. ↑,
90+1', Todorov D. ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
90+3', Cabarcas Perez J. C. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Recent performances by CSKA 1948 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dunav Ruse has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

CSKA 1948 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CSKA 1948 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3.27% Dunav Ruse: 0.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	10	7	1	2	19:10	9	22
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10:19	-9	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.09.26	Levski Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Septemvri Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Cherno More Varna	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos	1:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.09.26	Dunav Ruse - Slavia Sofia	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dunav Ruse - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Cherno More Varna - Dunav Ruse	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Dunav Ruse - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
26.09.19	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Dunav Ruse	2:1

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