Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	BTV Action
Greece	SKAI
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.30	1.75	Watch
	4.60	3.30	1.73
	4.60	3.50	1.73	Watch
	4.90	3.43	1.76
	5.02	3.53	1.72
	4.85	3.35	1.70
	4.66	3.40	1.84	Watch
	4.70	3.45	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (5.43)	3.41 ↓ (3.52)	1.75 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
19.5%

Draw
27.3%

Panathinaikos
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

26.6%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

26.8%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Panathinaikos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 2. Medina D. 4. Hoffmann A. 3. Dvali L. (C) 22. Gasevic O. 67. Frederic 33. Cuellar H. 8. Zemzemi M. 30. Meyer J. 11. Rusev G. 9. Iliev A.	1. Pena I. (G) 3. Katris G. 6. de Vrij S. (C) 55. Van Drongelen R. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 11. Zaroury A. 4. Chirivella P. 22. Camara E. 10. Andino S. 99. Garcia L. 74. Rastoder E.
Substitutes
19. Boychev M. 31. Bozhev A. (G) 93. Diallo M. 77. Franco E. 96. Grivic D. 23. Krebs F. 6. Parkhomenko E. 13. Sheytanov D. (G) 20. Sobrero B. 15. Soltani F. 14. Strinski K. 34. Vitanov P.	44. Biniaris P. 12. Chaves L. (G) 9. Dessers C. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 8. Jagusic A. 18. Kontouris S. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 30. Kyriopoulos G. 28. Pellistri F. 20. Taborda V. 7. Tetteh A. 5. Touba A.
Coaches
Aleksandrov A.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Katris G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽,
64', Rastoder E. 🟨,
65', Iliev A. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
65', Rastoder E. ↓, Dessers C. ↑,
66', Garcia L. ↓, Jagusic A. ↑,
71', Zemzemi M. 🟨,
72', Zemzemi M. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
80', Zaroury A. ↓, Touba A. ↑,
83', Meyer J. ↓, Vitanov P. ↑,
83', Rusev G. ↓, Sobrero B. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Dvali L. ⚽,
88', Chirivella P. ↓, Gnezda Cerin A. ↑,
88', Andino S. ↓, Taborda V. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
95', 1 - 2, Dessers C. ⚽,
101', Cuellar H. ↓, Krebs F. ↑,
105+1', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Kontouris S. ↑,
106', Medina D. ↓, Grivic D. ↑,
112', Franco E. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

CSKA 1948 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Panathinaikos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Panathinaikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Panathinaikos is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Panathinaikos: 3.5%

Last Results with these Odds

Panathinaikos - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.16%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.26	Panathinaikos - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Arda Kardzhali	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Trnava	1:0 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWWW
- Panathinaikos FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.26	Panathinaikos - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1 ✺
30.07.26	Panathinaikos - Paksi SE	2:2 ✺
23.07.26	Paksi SE - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Rapid Wien - Panathinaikos	4:0 ✺
11.07.26	Panathinaikos - Grasshoppers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.26	Panathinaikos - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Panathinaikos - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:0

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