Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.79	3.81	4.1
	1.76	3.68	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)	3.7 ↑ (3.32)	3.92 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
51.6%

Draw
24.9%

Spartak Varna
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

29.3%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Etar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spartak Varna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Etar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Etar is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Etar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.04.22	Septemvri Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Strumska Slava Radomir	1:2 ✺
06.04.22	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Montana	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Sportist Svoge - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1 ✺
18.03.22	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Botev Plovdiv II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.04.22	Spartak Varna - Minyor Pernik	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Yantra Gabrovo - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Simitli	3:1 ✺
06.04.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
31.10.21	Spartak Varna - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:1

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