Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports


	Cañuelas		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.7	2.85
	2.5	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.62	2.64	3.16
	2.62	2.57	3.16	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.88
	2.55	2.82	3.01
	2.5	2.8	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.07)	2.73 ↓ (3.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cañuelas
36.3%

Draw
33.5%

Sportivo Italiano
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

29.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cañuelas's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cañuelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Cañuelas - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Olivera E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 0 - 2, Zicarelli F. ⚽,
84', 0 - 3, Zicarelli F. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 16 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cañuelas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
29.07.24	Argentino de Merlo - Cañuelas	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Cañuelas - Liniers	0:0 ✺
14.07.24	Comunicaciones - Cañuelas	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Cañuelas - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
05.07.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Cañuelas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLTT
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
27.07.24	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
15.07.24	Sportivo Italiano - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
10.07.24	Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Sportivo Italiano - Acassuso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
17.03.24	Sportivo Italiano - Cañuelas	2:2
Argentinian Primera C
05.10.19	Sportivo Italiano - Cañuelas	1:1
27.01.19	Cañuelas - Sportivo Italiano	2:1
18.08.18	Sportivo Italiano - Cañuelas	4:1
08.04.18	Cañuelas - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
12.11.17	Sportivo Italiano - Cañuelas	1:1
03.06.17	Sportivo Italiano - Cañuelas	0:2

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