Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 9 July 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Cañuelas		Deportivo Armenio

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.95	1.93
	4	3	2	Watch
	4.43	2.85	2.02
	4.37	2.88	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.91
	4.33	3.24	1.86
	4.1	2.75	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (2.7)	2.97 ↑ (2.7)	1.96 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cañuelas
22.2%

Draw
30.9%

Deportivo Armenio
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cañuelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cañuelas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Armenio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Armenio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cañuelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Cañuelas - Deportivo Armenio Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Deportivo Armenio will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Armenio: 67.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Jerez T. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Guelfi B. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 2.

Cañuelas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo Armenio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cañuelas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportivo Armenio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cañuelas won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Cañuelas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Cañuelas	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	Cañuelas - Fénix	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Cañuelas	2:1 ✺
17.06.24	Los Andes - Cañuelas	3:2 ✺
08.06.24	Cañuelas - Villa Dálmine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL
- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
06.07.24	Deportivo Armenio - Deportivo Laferrere	4:2 ✺
29.06.24	Deportivo Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	Deportivo Armenio - Sacachispas	0:1 ✺
15.06.24	Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Acassuso - Deportivo Armenio	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
20.02.24	Deportivo Armenio - Cañuelas	2:0
24.06.23	Deportivo Armenio - Cañuelas	0:1
25.02.23	Cañuelas - Deportivo Armenio	0:3
17.09.22	Deportivo Armenio - Cañuelas	1:0
21.05.22	Cañuelas - Deportivo Armenio	5:0
24.07.21	Deportivo Armenio - Cañuelas	2:1
13.03.21	Cañuelas - Deportivo Armenio	0:2

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