Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Republica de Italia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Sportivo Italiano		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	1.73	3	4.75
				Watch
	1.77	2.84	5.87
	1.78	2.9	5.49	Watch
	1.8	2.8	5
	1.79	2.88	5.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.32)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)	5.36 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
51.4%

Draw
31.6%

Sacachispas
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

32%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Italiano's performance.

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sacachispas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Italiano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacachispas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Sportivo Italiano - Sacachispas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Italiano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Italiano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Sportivo Italiano (1.49) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Italiano (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Porro E. 2. Diaz E. 6. Kreiman B. 3. De Cuadro J. 8. Desposito P. 5. Rojas J. 10. Laborda L. 11. Rivero J. 7. Cabrera A. 9. Davila M.	1. Troncoso F. (G) 4. Barreiro E. 2. Ortiz H. 6. Romero K. 3. Barreto R. 8. Cena S. 5. Soria E. 10. Visco A. 11. Magnano T. 7. Martinez J. 9. Campuzano C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Rivero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barreiro E. ↓, Magnano T. ↑,
46', Cena S. ↓, Medina L. ↑,
46', Visco A. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
52', Desposito P. 🟨,
55', Cruz A. 🟨,
57', Cruz A. ↓, Monje A. ↑,
61', Porro E. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
61', Cabrera A. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
72', Romero K. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Gomez F. ⚽,
75', Barreto R. ↓, Soria E. ↑,
89', Davila M. ↓, Palacio S. ↑,
89', Laborda L. ↓, Alarcon R. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 19).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sacachispas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sportivo Italiano is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
03.05.25	Deportivo Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Sportivo Italiano - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Villa San Carlos - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLTLT
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
06.05.25	Sacachispas - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	3:1 ✺
22.04.25	Sacachispas - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Sacachispas	0:3 ✺
08.04.25	Sacachispas - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
15.07.24	Sportivo Italiano - Sacachispas	0:0
27.02.24	Sacachispas - Sportivo Italiano	2:2
Argentinian Primera C
07.04.17	Sacachispas - Sportivo Italiano	1:0
26.09.16	Sportivo Italiano - Sacachispas	0:1
09.04.16	Sacachispas - Sportivo Italiano	3:1

Upcoming Matches