Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cacereño		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.55
	2.55	3	2.5
	3.15	3.1	2.22
	3.17	3.14	2.3	Watch
	3	2.9	2.2
	3.17	3.02	2.21
	3.2	2.9	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	3.01 ↓ (3.06)	2.31 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
30.6%

Draw
30.2%

Celta de Vigo B
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

29.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

28.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cacereño - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cacereño will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Celta de Vigo B will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 3. Barrio J. 4. Crespo A. 15. Sanvi 5. de Diego J. 8. Deco (C) 10. Hyjek J. 17. Berlanga M. 9. Gomez D. 19. Gomez C.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 2. Gavian P. 6. Meixus P. (C) 26. Rodriguez A. 18. Lopez J. 23. Miller G. 5. Burcio H. 8. Antanon A. 10. de la Iglesia D. 19. Marcos O. 9. Marin A.
Substitutes
20. Gonzalez C. 13. Martinez Marti I. (G) 2. Martinez Munoz I. 21. Morales A. 6. Rementeria U. 18. Sanchis R. 27. Santamaria I. 24. Valdera R.	11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 16. Capdevila A. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 35. Perez-Lafuente J. 36. Prado M. 3. Ribes K. 20. Tarba I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Marin A. ⚽,
22', 🟨,
25', de Diego J. 🟨,
27', Barrio J. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Sanvi (Own goal),
40', 1 - 2, Gomez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Berlanga M. ⚽,
54', 🟨,
60', Deco ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
60', Hyjek J. ↓, Valdera R. ↑,
65', Sanvi 🟨,
68', Gavian P. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
68', Gomez D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
72', Sanvi 🟨,
79', Burcio H. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
81', Gomez C. ↓, Martinez Munoz I. ↑,
81', Berlanga M. ↓, Santamaria I. ↑,
86', Antanon A. ↓, Perez-Lafuente J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Marcos O. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Recent form of Cacereño has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celta de Vigo B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Celta de Vigo B could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cacereño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cacereño - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Celta de Vigo B - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
12.12.25	Cacereño - Zamora	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Cacereño - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cacereño - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.12.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Celta de Vigo B - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Real Avilés - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.02.16	Celta de Vigo B - Cacereño	0:0
11.10.15	Cacereño - Celta de Vigo B	4:2

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