Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cacereño		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	4.2	3	1.83
	3.5	2.92	2.15
	3.43	2.99	2.27
	3.43	2.94	2.28	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2
	3.35	2.88	2.21
	3.33	2.9	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.24)	2.93 ↑ (2.91)	2.13 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
25.8%

Draw
31.2%

Ferrol
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

31.9%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

31.8%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Cacereño - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 3. Barrio J. (C) 2. Martinez Munoz I. 5. de Diego J. 17. Berlanga M. 18. Sanchis R. 6. Rementeria U. 24. Valdera R. 20. Gonzalez C. 19. Gomez C.	1. Parera P. M. (G) 15. Zalaya A. 3. Pujol E. 22. Mardones A. 17. Ramon A. 10. Pascu 8. Gorostidi A. 5. Noriega J. 23. Pena A. 7. Alvaro J. 20. Gimenez A. (C)
Substitutes
4. Crespo A. 23. El Goumiri O. 9. Gomez D. 16. Gutierrez D. 13. Martinez Marti I. (G) 21. Morales A. 15. Sanvi	21. Carballo D. 12. Chema 11. Dacosta R. 25. Diaz L. (G) 9. Escobar A. 13. Fernandez C. G. (G) 24. Garcia A. 16. Garcia S. 6. Gelardo A. 2. Miguel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Berlanga M. 🟨,
43', Diaz L. 🟥,
45+2', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pascu ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
55', Mardones A. ↓, Miguel ↑,
63', Gonzalez C. ↓, El Goumiri O. ↑,
69', Noriega J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
72', Sanchis R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Alvaro J. ⚽,
88', Alvaro J. ↓, Chema ↑,
88', Pena A. ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Cacereño is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ferrol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cacereño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferrol might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ferrol - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.25	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cacereño - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Cacereño - Real Avilés	0:4 ✺
02.11.25	Ponferradina - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Ferrol - Huesca	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Ferrol - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Barakaldo - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ferrol - Zamora	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Arenteiro - Ferrol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.03.16	Cacereño - Ferrol	0:2
08.11.15	Ferrol - Cacereño	4:1

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