Match Info

Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana, Footballclub, TVG 2


	Celta de Vigo B		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.90	3.25
	2.23	2.95	3.40
	2.25	2.80	3.91
	2.27	2.99	3.4	Watch
	2.40	2.75	2.80
	2.29	3.02	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	2.9 ↓ (3.15)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
40.8%

Draw
31.7%

Ponferradina
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 2. Gavian P. 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. (C) 3. Ribes K. 7. Gonzalez H. 8. Antanon A. 5. Burcio H. 18. Lopez J. 19. Marcos O. 9. Marin A.	1. Prieto A. (G) 12. Koke 3. Novoa G. 5. Undabarrena E. 19. Lopez A. 10. Valle B. (C) 24. Moran E. 6. San Emeterio F. 7. Calderon C. 18. Vazquez B. 17. Keita A.
Substitutes
11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 16. Capdevila A. 10. de la Iglesia D. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 37. Kibet A. 23. Miller G. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 14. Oliveras J. 17. Somuah B. 4. Vazquez J.	2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 20. Ferrer P. 16. Frimpong E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 26. Kysil V. 21. Mfulu O. 4. Moltenis B. 8. Slavy

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Valle B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Novoa G. 🟨,
62', Marcos O. 🟨,
62', San Emeterio F. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
68', San Emeterio F. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
68', Marcos O. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
72', Keita A. ↓, Mfulu O. ↑,
74', Moran E. ↓, Slavy ↑,
74', Marin A. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
74', Gavian P. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
83', Koke ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
83', Calderon C. ↓, Andujar D. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Somuah B. ⚽,
90', Gonzalez H. ↓, Capdevila A. ↑,
90', Meixus P. ↓, Ndiaye S. M. ↑,
90+3', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
90+5', Cortes J. 🟥,
90+5', 4 - 1, Capdevila A. ⚽,
90+6', Vazquez B. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 1.

Celta de Vigo B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ponferradina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta de Vigo B won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Celta de Vigo B - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.04%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.06.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Celta de Vigo B - CE Europa	3:2 AET ✺
31.05.26	CE Europa - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Barakaldo - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTTL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.06.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Atlético Madrid B - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Ponferradina - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ponferradina - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.06.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0
08.02.26	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	0:0
23.11.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	2:0
02.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	1:1
05.10.24	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1
09.03.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	0:0
27.08.23	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1

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