Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Cacereño		Illescas

	1	X	2
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.78	3.1	4.1
	1.81	3.1	4.5
	1.86	3.2	4.54
	1.82	3.08	4.66	Watch
	1.83	3.18	4.53
	1.81	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)	3.11 ↓ (3.53)	4.48 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
50.3%

Draw
29.4%

Illescas
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacereño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cacereño - Illescas Predictions

Users Predictions: Cacereño will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Martinez C. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 0, Salinas A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Cacereño in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Illescas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cacereño to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Conquense - Cacereño	1:4 ✺
17.11.24	Cacereño - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Cacereño	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Cacereño - Real Madrid C	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWTW
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Illescas - Melilla	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Atlético Paso - Illescas	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Illescas - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.04.24	Illescas - Cacereño	0:0
17.12.23	Cacereño - Illescas	1:0

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