Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cacereño		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.2	3.01	3.51
	2.13	3.02	3.47	Watch
	2.14	3.14	3.37
	2.15	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)	3.02 ↑ (3)	3.35 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
42.7%

Draw
30.1%

Rayo Majadahonda
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Cacereño - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, de Diego J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Majadahonda is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cacereño will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Cacereño	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Cacereño - Real Madrid C	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Unión Adarve - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cacereño - San Sebastian Reyes	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWTL
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Rayo Majadahonda	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Melilla	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Atlético Paso - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Colonia Moscardó	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
31.10.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Cacereño	✺
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.11.26	Hércules - Rayo Majadahonda	✺

Cacereño - Rayo Majadahonda