Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Cacereño		Jerez

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	5.5
	1.55	3.3	5
	1.58	3.35	5.6
	1.61	3.45	5.9
	1.59	3.72	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.73)	3.42 ↑ (3.39)	5.46 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
57.2%

Draw
26.3%

Jerez
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.6%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

17.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jerez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cacereño - Jerez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 14 (Promotion Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 14 (Promotion Group)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Jerez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.11.20	Cacereño - Trujillo	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Arroyo - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
15.11.20	Cacereño - Olivenza	3:1 ✺
08.11.20	Miajadas - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
01.11.20	Cacereño - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWTW
- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.11.20	Jerez - Trujillo	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Arroyo - Jerez	1:2 ✺
28.10.20	Jerez - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
25.10.20	Miajadas - Jerez	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.20	Montijo - Jerez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.01.20	Jerez - Cacereño	1:4
20.01.19	Cacereño - Jerez	4:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.03.18	Cacereño - Jerez	2:1
01.11.17	Jerez - Cacereño	2:5

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