Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 24

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Jerez		Trujillo

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.3	5.5
	1.68	3.02	5.51
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.41)	3.16 ↓ (4.33)	5.51 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerez
55.2%

Draw
28.5%

Trujillo
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

20.1%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jerez's form might have worsened.

Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Jerez - Trujillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Roldan J. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Chavez Chema ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, Chavez Chema ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, Juanfri ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerez won 3.

Recent matches Jerez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trujillo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Trujillo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jerez is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Jerez won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:12 (average 1.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Jerez won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.02.25	Pueblonuevo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	CD Extremadura - Jerez	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Jerez - Jaraíz	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Arroyo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Jerez - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLLWW
- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.02.25	Trujillo - Santa Amalia	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Calamonte - Trujillo	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Trujillo - Montijo	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Villafranca - Trujillo	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Trujillo - Moralo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.10.24	Trujillo - Jerez	2:2
17.03.24	Jerez - Trujillo	2:1
29.10.23	Trujillo - Jerez	2:1
26.03.23	Jerez - Trujillo	1:0
27.11.22	Trujillo - Jerez	1:2
06.02.22	Trujillo - Jerez	1:1
07.02.21	Trujillo - Jerez	2:3

Jerez - Trujillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide