Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 19

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Cacereño		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3	4.75
	1.8	2.95	4.33
	1.85	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.11	4.61
	1.95	2.88	3.75
	1.85	3.1	4.66
	1.85	3.05	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.06)	3.03 ↑ (2.94)	4.41 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
49.4%

Draw
30%

Villanovense
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

31.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

30.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Cacereño - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Villanovense have a series of home games.

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Numancia - Cacereño	5:1 ✺
17.12.23	Cacereño - Illescas	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Paso - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Cacereño - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWTT
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Villanovense - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Villanovense - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	UD San Fernando - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Villanovense - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Villanovense - Betis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.09.23	Villanovense - Cacereño	0:0
19.02.23	Cacereño - Villanovense	1:0
02.10.22	Villanovense - Cacereño	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.04.22	Villanovense - Cacereño	2:0
27.11.21	Cacereño - Villanovense	0:1
Club Friendly
27.09.20	Villanovense - Cacereño	0:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
25.07.20	Villanovense - Cacereño	1:1

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