Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Numancia		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.31	3.15	3.33
	2.32	2.94	3.33
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.18	3.13	3.19
	2.17	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.06)	3.08 ↑ (2.88)	3.18 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
41.6%

Draw
29.6%

Cacereño
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

31.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Numancia - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Numancia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.12.23	Talavera de la Reina - Numancia	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Numancia - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	UD San Fernando - Numancia	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Unión Adarve - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLLT
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.12.23	Cacereño - Illescas	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Atlético Paso - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Cacereño - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Montijo - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTTWL

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