Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cacereño		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.55
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.52	3.2	2.62
	2.4	3.52	2.87
	2.57	3.43	2.57	Watch
	2.3	3	2.7
	2.55	3.33	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.6)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	2.62 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
37%

Draw
28.1%

Real Madrid Castilla
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.9%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.1%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Cacereño - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 2. Martinez Munoz I. (C) 21. Alonso J. 5. de Diego J. 17. Berlanga M. 6. Conesa N. 10. Hyjek J. 15. Monerris A. 7. Fernandez I. 9. Gomez D.	26. Fran (G) 17. Fortea J. 15. Martinez J. 3. Valdepenas V. 21. Aguado D. 7. Yanez D. 20. Fortuny P. 6. Perea C. 8. Angel M. (C) 32. Navascues L. 18. Fettal R.
Substitutes
3. Barrio J. 4. Crespo A. 23. El Goumiri O. 19. Gomez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 12. Kaptoum W. 29. Munoz Luis P. (G) 20. Palacin P. 13. Quevedo A. (G) 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R. 24. Valdera R.	23. Fati L. 42. Fofana C. 11. Iglesias Lois B. 4. Rivas M. 43. Santiago A. 5. Serrano M. 13. Sunico G. (G) 9. Zuniga L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', de Diego J. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Hyjek J. ⚽, Fernandez I. (A),
45+5', 2 - 0, Hyjek J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Fettal R. ⚽,
60', Conesa N. ↓, Palacin P. ↑,
60', Fernandez I. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Hyjek J. ⚽,
66', Yanez D. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
66', Perea C. ↓, Fofana C. ↑,
66', Aguado D. ↓, Serrano M. ↑,
71', Fortea J. 🟨,
71', Monerris A. 🟨,
77', 4 - 1, Gutierrez D. ⚽,
82', Gomez D. ↓, El Goumiri O. ↑,
82', Monerris A. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
82', Fettal R. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
82', Angel M. ↓, Fati L. ↑,
84', Palacin P. 🟨,
86', El Goumiri O. 🟨,
87', de Diego J. ↓, Sanchidrian R. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Cacereño has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Madrid Castilla is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cacereño - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.1%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.26	Arenteiro - Cacereño	0:4 ✺
24.04.26	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Celta de Vigo B - Cacereño	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Cacereño - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Tenerife - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WTLWT
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.05.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla	0:5 ✺
03.04.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Celta de Vigo B	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.11.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Cacereño	2:0

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