Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Prado (Talavera de la Reina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Talavera de la Reina		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.7
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.92	3.2	3.9
	2	3.25	3.8
	1.99	3.36	3.61	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	1.92	3.18	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.84)	3.16 ↓ (3.35)	3.7 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
46.6%

Draw
28.8%

Arenas Club de Getxo
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

28.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Talavera de la Reina - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 15. Acosta L. 5. Molina S. 2. Cuenca D. 3. Roig A. 16. Navarro I. 14. Molina A. 24. Nordin M. 6. Pitu (C) 20. Ferni 7. Di Renzo G.	25. Aragoneses S. (G) 6. Merino J. 21. Sillero J. (C) 4. Alvarez P. 5. Garcia P. 3. Fernandez Cozar M. 12. Lartitegi J. 10. Hidalgo A. 16. Verde A. 11. Troncho A. 2. Vizcay T.
Substitutes
31. Aduamoah F. 18. Capo P. . Ferni 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 4. Lopez A. 21. Montero Sergio 9. Moreno M. 8. Sanchez L. . Steipovich F.	27. Bazaga O. 24. Boriko S. 7. Collado U. 22. Mattheus C. 19. Mutilva C. 17. Navarro S. 23. Sustatxa A. 9. Vazquez A. 15. Viglo S. 20. Zabaleta E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Acosta L. 🟨,
23', Troncho A. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
31', 0 - 1, Garcia P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ferni ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
46', Navarro I. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', Acosta L. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
53', Garcia P. 🟨,
57', Merino J. 🟨,
61', Merino J. ↓, Collado U. ↑,
69', 🟨,
69', Nordin M. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
73', 🟨,
79', Lartitegi J. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
79', Vizcay T. ↓, Bazaga O. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Sillero J. (Own goal),
86', 2 - 1, Di Renzo G. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Talavera might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Talavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Arenas Getxo	6	0	2	4	4:14	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.04.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Lugo - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Talavera de la Reina - Zamora	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Talavera de la Reina - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LTLWT
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tenerife - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Celta de Vigo B	0:5 ✺
08.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Arenteiro - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.01.16	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	2:0
13.09.15	Talavera de la Reina - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:3

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