The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caen 29.3%
Draw 28.3%
Guingamp 42.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.8%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
27.2%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caen's form might have worsened.
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guingamp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
23.1%
69.2%
Caen - Guingamp Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Guingamp will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 51.5% โ 86.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 25. Sy L. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 61. Traore B. 28. Lecoeuche Q. 20. Lebreton N. 8. Le Bihan M. 50. Najim I. 10. Brahimi B. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 19. Mendy A. (C)
16. Basilio E. (G) 26. Riou M. 7. Gomis D. 18. Nair S. 31. Ourega D. 23. Luvambo T. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 10. Picard H. 29. Mendes J. A. 9. Labeau B.
Substitutes
3. Bolumbu D. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 7. Gomis T. 17. Kyeremeh G. 6. M'Vila Y. 14. Rajot L. 29. Thomas R.
20. Demouchy A. 33. Godame T. 19. Guendouz S. 24. Lemonnier P. 2. Maronnier L. 30. Niasse B. (G) 27. Touzghar R.
Coaches
Baltazar B.
Ripoll S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Labeau B. ⚽,
45+4', Guendouz S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Guendouz S. ↓, Mendes J. A. ↑,
68', Le Bihan M. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
73', Luvambo T. ↓, Touzghar R. ↑,
74', Najim I. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
75', Lecoeuche Q. 🟨,
80', Lebreton N. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
83', Touzghar R. 🟨,
88', Labeau B. ↓, Godame T. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 0.
Caen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Guingamp is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Caen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Guingamp have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Caen: Coulibaly K.
(Red Card)
Henry V.
(Red Card)
M'Vila Y.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Guingamp: Planeix I.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Guingamp to win the game is with odds 2.4.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Caen won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:23 (average 1.1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.1:1.1).
France
Watch
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Mandrea A. (G) 
Sy L. 
Moucketou-Moussounda A. 
Brahimi B. 
Gaucho Debohi D. 
Mendy A. (C) 
Mendes J. A. 
Labeau B. 
Godame T. 
Niasse B. (G) 
Baltazar B. 
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