Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Cymru Premier - Round 2
  • Date: 7 August 2026, Friday
  • Location: The Oval (Caernarfon)
  • Referee: Jones A. (Wal)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C
    usaUsaSportsEngine Play
    walesWalesCymru Football TV
    Caernarfon Town Pen-y-Bont
    Caernarfon Town Pen-y-Bont
    1 X 2
    Bwin 1.85 3.30 3.50
    betsson 1.92 3.4 3.55
    Bet_in_Asia 1.99 3.5 3.71
    GGBet 1.97 3.56 3.64 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 1.96 3.4 3.65
    BetNow 2 3.56 3.46 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bovada 1.92 3.4 3.55
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.06)
    3.45
    (3.69)
    3.58
    (3.18)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Caernarfon Town
    47.5%
    Draw
    26.8%
    Pen-y-Bont
    25.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    45.3% 25.3% 29.4%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
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    Predictions

  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. WalesRoberts C. (G)
    19. WalesBradley S.
    11. PolandCieslewicz A.
      9. EnglandClarke Z.
    14. WalesEdwards N.
    29. WalesEvans O.
      8. WalesGosset D. (C)
    23. WalesMarriott Ch.
    16. WalesNash B.
      4. EnglandPiggott J.
    27. EnglandSears R.
      1. WalesHiggs D. (G)
    10. WalesCann E.
      6. WalesDavies M. (C)
    19. EnglandHill R.
    20. WalesManga M.
      4. EnglandMehew T.
    16. EnglandMelbourne M.
      8. WalesPritchard O.
    32. WalesShephard L.
    12. Guinea-BissauVaz E.
      7. WalesWood N.
    Substitutes
      6. EnglandCanavan J.
    30. WalesGriffith C.
      3. WalesJones M.
      7. PortugalMendes P.
      5. EnglandMooney P.
    10. WalesThomas D.
    13. WalesWilliams J. (G)
    11. WalesDaley N.
    25. WalesPennock A. (G)
    14. WalesPhillips I.
    35. WalesPrice J. (G)
    33. WalesVaughan E.
      9. WalesVenables C.
    23. EnglandWalker T.
    Coaches
         WalesDavies R.
         WalesGriffiths R.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 2)
    • 5', 1 - 0, Clarke Z. ,
    • 19', 1 - 1, Mehew T. ,
    • 32', Marriott Ch. 🟨,
    • 32', 1 - 2, Hill R. (Penalty Awarded),
    • 41', Gosset D. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 71', Cieslewicz A. , Canavan J. ,
    • 71', Gosset D. , Mendes P. ,
    • 71', Marriott Ch. , Jones M. ,
    • 75', Sears R. 🟨,
    • 86', Wood N. , Venables C. ,
    • 86', Cann E. , Walker T. ,
    • 88', Bradley S. , Thomas D. ,
    • 90+4', Pritchard O. , Daley N. ,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 2.
  • Caernarfon might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.6:2).
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    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    3Penybont32105:147
    7Caernarfon32016:336

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Caernarfon Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier
    02.08.26 Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town 1:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    16.07.26 Levadia Tallinn - Caernarfon Town 5:0
    09.07.26 Caernarfon Town - Levadia Tallinn 0:5
    Club Friendly
    20.06.26 Glentoran - Caernarfon Town 1:2
    Welsh Cymru Premier
    18.04.26 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 2:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7
    WLLWW
    - Pen-y-Bont FC
    Welsh Cymru Premier
    02.08.26 Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints 0:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    16.07.26 FC Santa Coloma - Pen-y-Bont 3:0
    09.07.26 Pen-y-Bont - FC Santa Coloma 0:1
    Club Friendly
    23.06.26 Trethomas Bluebirds - Pen-y-Bont 0:3
    Welsh Cymru Premier
    02.05.26 Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County 2:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4
    TLLWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Welsh Cymru Premier
    18.04.26 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 2:0
    24.01.26 Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town 0:0
    25.10.25 Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town 0:2
    20.09.25 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 1:2
    13.04.25 Pen-y-Bont - Caernarfon Town 3:1
    22.02.25 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 3:2
    02.11.24 Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont 1:5
    Upcoming Matches
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Caernarfon Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier
    21.08.26 Trefelin - Caernarfon Town
    - Pen-y-Bont FC
    Welsh Cymru Premier
    21.08.26 Pen-y-Bont - Llandudno