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Current Win Probability
Caernarfon Town 18.2%
Draw 21.9%
The New Saints 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.2%
22.8%
56%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
21.8%
58.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Caernarfon Town - The New Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 6. Canavan J. 11. Cieslewicz A. 9. Clarke Z. 14. Edwards N. 29. Evans O. 3. Jones M. 16. Nash B. 4. Piggott J. 27. Sears R. (C)
1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 4. Corness D. 22. Davies D. 20. Hughes R. 37. Jefferies I. 34. Lock J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 16. Simeu D. 14. Williams D. 28. Wilson B.
Substitutes
23. Marriott Ch. 7. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 21. Nyamwanza S. 15. Smith D. 17. Williams J. (G) 25. Zanzala O.
8. Brobbel R. 42. Clarke-Phillips R. 18. Holden R. 44. Jenkins G. (G) 23. Nolan Z. 17. Williams J. 9. Young B.
Coaches
Davies R.
Harrison C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Wilson B. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Hughes R. ⚽,
23', Canavan J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Evans O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 2, Cieslewicz A. ⚽,
59', Sears R. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
74', Canavan J. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
74', Wilson B. ↓, Young B. ↑,
74', Jefferies I. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
74', Redmond D. ↓, Nolan Z. ↑,
75', 2 - 3, Davies D. ⚽,
88', Sears R. ↓, Mooney P. ↑,
88', Bradley S. ↓, Nyamwanza S. ↑,
88', Evans O. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
88', Jones M. ↓, Marriott Ch. ↑,
89', Lock J. ↓, Holden R. ↑,
90', Simeu D. 🟨,
90+4', Piggott J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 0.
Caernarfon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
TNS is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, TNS is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 15:64. (average 0.8:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:32. (average 0.6:3.6).
United-kingdom
Usa
Wales
Watch
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Roberts C. (G) 
Canavan J. 
Cieslewicz A. 
Wilson B. 
Mendes P. 
Zanzala O. 
Nolan Z. 
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