Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Bartons North Wales Stadium (Holywell)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Holywell Town		Caernarfon Town

	1	X	2
	9.25	6.25	1.20
	8.50	5.60	1.23
	11.86	7.31	1.19
	9.16	6.26	1.26	Watch
	11.00	7.20	1.17
	11.80	6.67	1.20
	9.40	5.80	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.14 ↑ (9.5)	6.44 ↑ (5.64)	1.21 ↓ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holywell Town
9.1%

Draw
14.4%

Caernarfon Town
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

16.2%

74.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Holywell Town - Caernarfon Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Swindell A. (G) 2. Bedford C. 7. Bibby T. 8. Dogan T. 18. Hughes C. 16. McGiveron D. 28. Morris H. 4. Mudimu A. 14. Murtas F. 10. Winslade M. 27. Yonsian F.	1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 6. Canavan J. 11. Cieslewicz A. 9. Clarke Z. 14. Edwards N. 29. Evans O. 23. Marriott Ch. 7. Mendes P. 16. Nash B. 4. Piggott J.
Substitutes
24. Byron J. 31. Collins E. (G) 9. Davies O. 22. Edwards A. 15. Nyoni T. 17. Reed J. 19. Sconce J.	3. Jones M. 5. Mooney P. 21. Nyamwanza S. 15. Smith D. 13. Thomas H. (G) 39. Wyn H. 25. Zanzala O.
Coaches
Haseldin J.	Davies R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Clarke Z. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Murtas F. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 3, Clarke Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 2 - 3, Hughes C. ⚽,
51', 2 - 4, Clarke Z. ⚽,
64', 3 - 4, Yonsian F. (Penalty Awarded),
72', 3 - 5, Edwards N. ⚽,
73', Bradley S. ↓, Nyamwanza S. ↑,
73', Canavan J. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
74', Clarke Z. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
87', Mudimu A. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,
90+1', Winslade M. ↓, Reed J. ↑,
90+2', McGiveron D. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Holywell Town is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Caernarfon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Caernarfon is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Holywell Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Caernarfon: 2.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Caernarfon	12	7	2	3	35:14	21	23
16	Holywell	12	0	2	10	13:38	-25	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.08.26	Holywell Town - Barry Town United	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	Llandudno - Holywell Town	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	Holywell Town - Gap Connahs Quay	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Holywell Town	6:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.08.26	Trefelin - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	3:0 ✺
07.08.26	Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Levadia Tallinn - Caernarfon Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Caernarfon Town - Holywell Town	3:2 penalties

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