Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 24

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Penrhyncoch		Llay Welfare

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.8	6.8
	1.31	5.17	7.4
	1.35	5.15	7.56	Watch
	1.4	4.92	6.56
	1.35	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	4.97 ↓ (6)	7.02 ↑ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
68.3%

Draw
18.6%

Llay Welfare
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

15.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

14.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Llay Welfare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penrhyncoch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Penrhyncoch - Llay Welfare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Owen D. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Penrhyncoch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Llay Welfare has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Penrhyncoch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Llay Welfare have a series of home games.

In this match Penrhyncoch is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Penrhyncoch won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
08.03.25	Penrhyncoch - Airbus UK Broughton	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Caersws - Penrhyncoch	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Penrhyncoch - Buckley Town	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Bangor 1876 - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWTT
- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
08.03.25	Ruthin Town - Llay Welfare	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Llay Welfare - Flint Mountain	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Llay Welfare - Gresford Athletic	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	Llay Welfare - Buckley Town	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Mold Alexandra - Llay Welfare	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
28.09.24	Llay Welfare - Penrhyncoch	1:1

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