Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Cala Pozuelo		Torrejón

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.9	3.25	2.23
	2.6	3.31	2.31
				Watch
	2.9	3.15	2.29
	2.7	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.17)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	2.3 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cala Pozuelo
32.7%

Draw
28%

Torrejón
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cala Pozuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Torrejón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torrejón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cala Pozuelo than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torrejón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cala Pozuelo - Torrejón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Pradillos Castrillejo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+7', 0 - 2, Guti ⚽,
90+11', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cala Pozuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.24	Trival Valderas - Cala Pozuelo	4:2 ✺
01.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Alcalá	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Aravaca - Cala Pozuelo	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	México - Cala Pozuelo	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Cala Pozuelo - Leganés B	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT
- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.12.24	Alcalá - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Torrejón - Rayo Vallecano B	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Leganés B - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
17.11.24	Torrejón - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Carabanchel - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWW

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