Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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Calamonte |
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Azuaga |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.45 |
3.25 |
1.72 |
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4.67 |
3.32 |
1.75 |
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4.66 |
3.33 |
1.75 |
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4.5 |
3.1 |
1.75 |
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4.7 |
3.4 |
1.78 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.6 ↑
(3.75) |
3.28 ↑
(3.2) |
1.75 ↓
(1.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Calamonte
19.9% | Draw
27.9% | Azuaga
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Azuaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-3.6%)Calamonte - Azuaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 1.Calamonte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Azuaga is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Azuaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Azuaga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Calamonte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 15 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 26.10.25 | Azuaga - Calamonte | 1:0 | | 02.03.25 | Calamonte - Azuaga | 2:4 | | 20.10.24 | Azuaga - Calamonte | 2:0 | | 07.01.24 | Azuaga - Calamonte | 2:2 | | 19.03.23 | Azuaga - Calamonte | 1:2 | | 20.11.22 | Calamonte - Azuaga | 0:1 | | 20.03.22 | Azuaga - Calamonte | 1:1 |
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