Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 24Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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Azuaga |
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Puebla de la Calzada |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.49 |
3.7 |
5.9 |
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1.51 |
3.83 |
6.24 |
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1.51 |
3.82 |
6.12 |
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1.5 |
3.75 |
6 |
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1.47 |
3.74 |
6.52 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↑ (1.43) |
3.77 ↓ (3.89) |
6.16 ↓ (6.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Azuaga 61% | Draw 24.2% | Puebla de la Calzada 14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azuaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-2.1%)Azuaga - Puebla de la Calzada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 12).Azuaga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Puebla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Azuaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Azuaga is the undisputed favorite.We predict that Azuaga will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Azuaga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Azuaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 15 |
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| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 18.10.25 | Puebla de la Calzada - Azuaga | 0:2 | | 26.04.25 | Puebla de la Calzada - Azuaga | 1:1 | | 15.12.24 | Azuaga - Puebla de la Calzada | 3:1 |
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