Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Calamonte		Cabeza del Buey

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.25	1.75
	4.17	3.38	1.81
	4.24	3.24	1.8
	4	3.33	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.24)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamonte
21.9%

Draw
27.5%

Cabeza del Buey
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

27.7%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

26.9%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cabeza del Buey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabeza del Buey than the current prediction. (+2%)

Calamonte - Cabeza del Buey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cabeza del Buey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cabeza del Buey is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cabeza del Buey	5	1	2	2	6:6	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.01.26	Calamonte - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Badajoz - Calamonte	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Calamonte - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Montijo - Calamonte	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Calamonte - Moralo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLWWT
- CD Cabeza del Buey
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.01.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Cabeza del Buey	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cabeza del Buey - Jaraíz	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Montehermoso - Cabeza del Buey	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Cabeza del Buey - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Jerez - Cabeza del Buey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTWTT

Calamonte - Cabeza del Buey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide