Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Caldas		Fontinhas

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.77	3.53	5.03
	1.77	3.4	4.4	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	3.35 ↓ (3.53)	4.33 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldas
51.4%

Draw
27.4%

Fontinhas
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

27.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Preview

Caldas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fontinhas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Caldas have a series of guest games.

In this match Caldas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Caldas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Caldas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
22.04.23	Caldas - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	3:2 ✺
04.03.23	Caldas - Leiria	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLTLL
- GD Fontinhas
Portuguese Liga 3
22.04.23	Fontinhas - Académica Coimbra	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Académica Coimbra - Fontinhas	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Oliveira Hospital - Fontinhas	3:2 ✺
05.03.23	Fontinhas - Sporting Lisbon B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
17.12.22	Caldas - Fontinhas	4:2
21.08.22	Fontinhas - Caldas	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.02.20	Fontinhas - Caldas	1:1

Caldas - Fontinhas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide