Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 4

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Caldas		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.1	6.25
	1.45	4	5.75
	1.44	4.54	7.27
	1.32	4.75	8.5	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (2.07)	4.32 ↑ (3)	6.83 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldas
65.3%

Draw
21.3%

Moncarapachense
13.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

30.4%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.5%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caldas's performance.

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moncarapachense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caldas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moncarapachense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Caldas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Moncarapachense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Moncarapachense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Caldas have a series of guest games.

In this match Caldas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Caldas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Caldas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
08.04.23	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	3:2 ✺
04.03.23	Caldas - Leiria	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Amora - Caldas	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
15.04.23	Moncarapachense - Académica Coimbra	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Fontinhas - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Leiria - Moncarapachense	6:1 ✺
04.03.23	Moncarapachense - Amora	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
02.04.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1
14.01.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1
03.09.22	Caldas - Moncarapachense	3:1

Caldas - Moncarapachense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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