Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Moncarapachense		Caldas

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.55	3.3	1.9
	3.73	3.46	2.05
	3.55	3.46	1.94	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)	3.41 ↑ (3.39)	1.96 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moncarapachense
26.4%

Draw
26.8%

Caldas
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.5%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

24.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Moncarapachense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Caldas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caldas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Moncarapachense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3
11.03.23	Leiria - Moncarapachense	6:1 ✺
04.03.23	Moncarapachense - Amora	2:4 ✺
25.02.23	Belenenses - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Moncarapachense - Real SC	1:6 ✺
11.02.23	Académica Coimbra - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT
- SC Caldas
Portuguese Liga 3
11.03.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Caldas	3:2 ✺
04.03.23	Caldas - Leiria	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Amora - Caldas	4:2 ✺
19.02.23	Caldas - Belenenses	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Real SC - Caldas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
14.01.23	Moncarapachense - Caldas	1:1
03.09.22	Caldas - Moncarapachense	3:1

Moncarapachense - Caldas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide