Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 34

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Tullio Saleri (Lumezzane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Lumezzane		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	2.03	3.3	3.55
	2.02	3.41	3.61	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.85	3.34	3.85	Watch
	2.03	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.66 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lumezzane
46.9%

Draw
28%

Caldiero Terme
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

27.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Lumezzane - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Toniolo G. (G) 7. Moscati M. 6. Pogliano C. 21. Dalmazzi A. 25. Pagliari M. 30. Tremolada M. 5. Taugourdeau A. 16. Tenkorang J. 77. Pannitteri O. 45. Monachello G. 32. Iori M.	45. Crespi G. M. (G) 13. Pelagatti C. 15. Gecchele P. 44. Nessi R. 20. Florio M. 8. Filiciotto A. 4. Gattoni T. 3. Parodi G. 11. Marras T. 97. Cazzadori D. 10. Fasan N.
Substitutes
92. Baldini E. 22. Carnelos M. (G) 31. Ferro M. 10. Malotti M. 12. Ottolini E. (G) 3. Pisano E. 53. Pittino T. 66. Regazzetti S. 28. Scanzi M.	9. Caccavo L. 85. Cisse O. 24. Gobetti N. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 33. Mazzolo F. 28. Molnar I. 14. Pelamatti A. 21. Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 12. Vanti E. (G) 7. Zerbato L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Cazzadori D. 🟨,
10', Monachello G. ↓, Baldini E. ↑,
18', Taugourdeau A. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Fasan N. ⚽,
36', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pannitteri O. ↓, Malotti M. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Baldini E. ⚽,
50', Tenkorang J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Dalmazzi A. (Own goal),
60', Nessi R. 🟨,
65', Iori M. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
67', Marras T. ↓, Gobetti N. ↑,
67', Parodi G. ↓, Pelamatti A. ↑,
71', Tremolada M. ↓, Regazzetti S. ↑,
75', Florio M. ↓, Cisse O. ↑,
81', Fasan N. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
81', Cazzadori D. ↓, Scappini S. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Malotti M. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Lumezzane is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caldiero Terme is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lumezzane is a favorite.

There will not play in Lumezzane: Carnelos M. (Inactive) Corti N. (Yellow Cards) D'Agostino S. (Inactive) Deratti J. (Inactive) Taugourdeau A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Caldiero Terme: Baldani N. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lumezzane won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Pergolettese - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Lumezzane - Alcione	1:1 ✺
28.02.25	Giana Erminio - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.25	Vicenza Virtus - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Caldiero Terme - Novara	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Caldiero Terme - Renate	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Pro Patria - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
15.11.24	Caldiero Terme - Lumezzane	2:2

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