Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 26

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Renate		Triestina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.15	3.65	Watch
	1.92	3.17	4.34
	1.9	3.25	3.93	Watch
	1.85	3	3.8
	1.88	3.05	4.15	Watch
	1.9	3.14	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.91)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	4.02 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
48%

Draw
29.2%

Triestina
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

28%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Renate - Triestina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Renate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Renate will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 2. De Zen R. 14. Cali M. 8. Esposito G. 17. Bonetti A. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 92. Anelli N. 16. Ekuban J.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 2. Silvestro A. 5. Kosijer S. 14. Anzolin M. (C) 21. Tonetto M. 17. Jonsson K. 15. Voca I. 26. D'Amore F. 28. Pedicillo L. 16. Vicario J. 27. Faggioli A.
Substitutes
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 77. De Leo L. 97. Fall M. 3. Gardoni P. 9. Karlsson O. 72. Mastromonaco G. 7. Muhameti E. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 25. Vassallo F. 80. Vesentini F.	78. Anton A. 77. Ascione S. 8. Attys C. 22. Borriello F. (G) 20. Davis H. 10. D'Urso C. 43. Gningue O. 13. Jamaal M. 29. Kljajic N. 30. Neri F. (G) 32. Okolo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Anelli N. ⚽,
36', Auriletto S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Vicario J. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
46', D'Amore F. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,
46', Silvestro A. ↓, Anton A. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Cali M. ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Anelli N. ⚽,
62', Faggioli A. ↓, Okolo D. ↑,
67', De Zen R. ↓, Ori R. ↑,
67', Anelli N. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
73', Kosijer S. ↓, Davis H. ↑,
75', Esposito G. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
75', Ruiz Giraldo P. ↓, Vesentini F. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Ekuban J. ⚽,
83', Spedalieri J. ↓, Gardoni P. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Triestina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Renate might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Renate won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Renate	9	0	4	5	8:14	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Renate - Alcione	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.01.26	Latina - Renate	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.26	Brescia - Renate	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWLWT
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.26	Triestina - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	4:1 ✺
23.01.26	Triestina - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ospitaletto - Triestina	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Lecco - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.09.25	Triestina - Renate	3:0
06.04.25	Renate - Triestina	0:1
22.11.24	Triestina - Renate	0:1
13.02.24	Triestina - Renate	1:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Triestina - Renate	4:0
Italian Serie C Group A
07.10.23	Renate - Triestina	1:1
15.03.23	Renate - Triestina	1:4

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