Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)


	Caldiero Terme		Vogherese

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.55
	2	3.46	3.3	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.35
	2.05	3.2	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.1)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
45.5%

Draw
27.7%

Vogherese
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caldiero Terme that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vogherese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caldiero Terme - Vogherese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Orfeini T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

In recent matches, Caldiero Terme has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vogherese has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Caldiero Terme might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.12.25	Villa Valle - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Sondrio	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Brusaporto - Caldiero Terme	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Caldiero Terme - Folgore Caratese	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Real Calepina - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWTT
- AVC Vogherese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.12.25	Vogherese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Casatese - Vogherese	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vogherese - Chievo	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pavia - Vogherese	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vogherese - Leon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Caldiero Terme - Vogherese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide