Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Calvi Noale		Luparense

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.05	2.62
	2.54	3.14	2.63	Watch
	2.48	3.08	2.6
	2.54	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.49)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	2.61 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calvi Noale
36.1%

Draw
29.3%

Luparense
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

29.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.1%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvi Noale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvi Noale than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Calvi Noale - Luparense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+8', 0 - 1, Antoniazzi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Calvi Noale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Calvi Noale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luparense	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14
8	Calvi Noale	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Calvi Noale
Italian Serie D - Group C
18.01.26	Union Clodiense - Calvi Noale	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Calvi Noale - Cjarlins Muzane	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Brian Lignano - Calvi Noale	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Calvi Noale - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Campodarsego - Calvi Noale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLTW
- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
18.01.26	Luparense - Bassano Virtus	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Portogruaro Summaga - Luparense	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Luparense - Adriese	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Luparense - Este	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vigasio - Luparense	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
24.09.25	Luparense - Calvi Noale	2:1
29.01.25	Calvi Noale - Luparense	1:2
06.03.16	Luparense - Calvi Noale	1:0

Calvi Noale - Luparense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide