Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano		Tarancón

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.45
	2.02	3.06	3.81
	2.41	2.75	3.24
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2	3.26	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	3.58 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
43.6%

Draw
30.7%

Tarancón
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

31.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Tarancón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvo Sotelo Puertollano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Tarancón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Calvo Sotelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Calvo Sotelo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Calvo Sotelo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Calvo Sotelo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tarancon	5	2	1	2	10:7	3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calvo Sotelo Puertollano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.03.26	Pedroñeras - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Sonseca	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - San Clemente	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Villacañas - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWWLW
- CD Tarancón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.03.26	Tarancón - San Clemente	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Villacañas - Tarancón	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tarancón - Illescas	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Manchego - Tarancón	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Tarancón - Villarrobledo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
01.11.25	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:2
24.11.24	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Tarancón	2:2
03.02.24	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:2
17.09.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Tarancón	1:1
02.04.23	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Tarancón	0:2
03.12.22	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	1:1
10.11.19	Tarancón - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:0

Upcoming Matches