Match Info

Catarinense - Losers Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Camboriú		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.14	1.93
	3.53	3.10	2.13	Watch
	3.8	2.9	1.95
	4.39	3.14	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.46)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	1.96 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camboriú
23.8%

Draw
29.7%

Avaí
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29.1%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

28.8%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camboriú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Camboriú - Avaí Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Camboriú (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Camboriú (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vava (G) 18. Alysson Dutra 5. Choco 23. Danilo Mendes 2. Gabriel Bessan 14. Hygor 10. Mansur 11. Nilton 16. Reginaldo 26. Silva (C) 7. Wermeson	41. Leo Aragao (G) 9. Avenatti F. 55. Bruno Baldini 14. Daniel Penha 36. DG 4. Gabriel Simples 10. Jean Lucas 50. Joao Maistro 8. Luiz Henrique 7. Rafael Bilu 77. Ze Ricardo (C)
Substitutes
3. Daniel Blanco 22. Julio Cesar (G) 13. Junior Santos 9. Kaka 17. Kennedy 12. Lucas Gomes (G) 20. Macias J. 15. Matheus Belem 19. Mikael Mendes 8. Nadson 21. Ricardinho 27. Silva M.	3. Allyson 20. Gaspar 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 16. Jamerson 90. Kevin 33. Leonardo 21. Otavio Passos (G) 25. Paulo Vitor 19. Vinicius Gugel 57. Walace

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Nilton ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabriel Simples ↓, Wallison ↑,
62', Gabriel Bessan ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
63', Leo Aragao 🟨,
68', Rafael Bilu ↓, Walace ↑,
68', Luiz Henrique ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
69', Nilton ↓, Matheus Belem ↑,
77', Avenatti F. ↓, Hyan ↑,
78', Mansur ↓, Macias J. ↑,
78', Choco ↓, Nadson ↑,
81', Jean Lucas ↓, Gaspar ↑,
84', Matheus Belem 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Camboriú won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Avaí is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Camboriú won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Camboriú won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camboriú FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
21.02.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Camboriú	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Camboriú - Barra Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Figueirense - Camboriú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LTWLT
- Avaí
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
21.02.26	Avaí - Santa Catarina	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Santa Catarina - Avaí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.02.26	Avaí - Camboriú	0:2 penalties
31.01.26	Camboriú - Avaí	1:2
18.01.23	Avaí - Camboriú	3:0
16.02.22	Camboriú - Avaí	1:0
17.03.16	Avaí - Camboriú	0:1
07.02.16	Camboriú - Avaí	1:1

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