The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitano 36.9%
Draw 35.5%
Carlos Renaux 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
32.4%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
32.5%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Carlos Renaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Metropolitano - Carlos Renaux Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
1st leg.
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals))
Metropolitano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Carlos Renaux has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Metropolitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metropolitano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).