Match Info

League Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday


	Cambrian United		Cardiff Metropolitan

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	1.95
	3.6	3.65	1.85
	3.47	3.55	1.88
	8.64	5.03	1.30	Watch
	3.7	3.62	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.22)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)	1.76 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
21.1%

Draw
24.7%

Cardiff Metropolitan
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

25.6%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

23.6%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambrian United's form might have worsened.

Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff Metropolitan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambrian United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff Metropolitan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff Metropolitan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Roscrow A. ⚽,
32', Rees L. 🟥,
33', 1 - 1, Eason L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),

Preview

Cambrian United is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cardiff Metropolitan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cambrian United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cardiff Metropolitan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru South
05.09.25	Newport City - Cambrian United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Cambrian United - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Cambrian United - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cambrian United	0:5 ✺
08.08.25	Cambrian United - Cwmbran Celtic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
06.09.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Colwyn Bay	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Flint Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	4:2 ✺
25.08.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Barry Town United	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United	3:0
Welsh League Cup
19.01.19	Cardiff Metropolitan - Cambrian United	2:0

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