Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	Cambrian United		Taffs Well AFC

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	4.75
	1.54	4.26	4.51
	1.57	4.5	4.91
	1.53	4.25	4.83
	1.53	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	4.28 ↓ (4.33)	4.75 ↓ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
59.4%

Draw
21.4%

Taffs Well AFC
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

20.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Taffs Well AFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambrian United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Cambrian United - Taffs Well AFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Keetch C. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, Keetch C. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambrian United won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Cambrian United is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cambrian United won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cambrian United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru South
26.08.24	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Cambrian United - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	0:0 ✺
09.08.24	Pontypridd United - Cambrian United	1:3 ✺
06.08.24	Newport City - Cambrian United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWT
- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
26.08.24	Llantwit Major - Taffs Well AFC	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Taffs Well AFC - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Trethomas Bluebirds - Taffs Well AFC	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Taffs Well AFC - Caerau Ely	0:3 ✺
06.08.24	Afan Lido - Taffs Well AFC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
01.04.24	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	0:2
08.08.23	Cambrian United - Taffs Well AFC	1:1
15.04.23	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	1:2
23.09.22	Cambrian United - Taffs Well AFC	4:3
03.12.21	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	1:1
20.11.21	Cambrian United - Taffs Well AFC	5:2
06.03.20	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	0:3

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