The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 22.4%
Draw 26%
Bolton Wanderers 51.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22%
24.3%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.4%
26.2%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Cambridge United - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Reyes V. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. (C) 3. Andrew D. 2. Bennett L. 24. Cousins J. 14. Smith K. 7. Brophy J. 11. Kaikai S. 18. Loft R. 34. Njoku B.
1. Baxter N. (G) 2. Jones G. 5. Santos R. 6. Johnston G. 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 8. Sheehan J. 28. Matete J. 4. Thomason G. (C) 27. Williams R. 10. Charles D. 19. Collins A.
Substitutes
16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 10. Kachunga E. 37. Kaunda A. 19. Lavery S. 29. O'Riordan C. 1. Stevens J. (G) 6. Watts K.
9. Adeboyejo V. 37. Arfield S. 15. Forrester W. 17. Lolos K. 45. McAtee J. 14. Osei-Tutu J. 20. Southwood L. (G)
Coaches
Monk G.
Evatt I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Thomason G. 🟨,
44', Njoku B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Njoku B. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
50', Okedina J. 🟥,
53', Loft R. ↓, Ibsen Rossi Z. ↑,
54', Sheehan J. 🟨,
59', Smith K. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Charles D. (A),
69', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
69', Thomason G. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
77', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
78', Collins A. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
79', Charles D. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
80', Cousins J. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
88', Baxter N. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Kaikai S. ⚽, Andrew D. (A),
90+4', Jones G. 🟨,
90+4', Brophy J. ↓, Watts K. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 0.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match Bolton is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).