Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cambridge United		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.73	Watch
	4.33	3.7	1.75
	4.5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.43	4.04	1.77
	4.31	3.86	1.74	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.8
	4.29	3.88	1.78	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.84)	3.8 ↑ (3.69)	1.76 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
21.4%

Draw
24.9%

Barnsley
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

27.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Cambridge United - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stevens J. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. (C) 3. Andrew D. 2. Bennett L. 14. Smith K. 24. Cousins J. 7. Brophy J. 10. Kachunga E. 9. N'Lundulu D. 34. Njoku B.	23. Killip B. (G) 6. de Gevigney M. 4. Roberts M. (C) 32. Earl J. 7. O'Keeffe C. 8. Phillips A. 3. Russell J. 17. Gent G. 44. Humphrys S. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 36. Watters M.
Substitutes
31. Chadwick L. (G) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 37. Kaunda A. 19. Lavery S. 18. Loft R. 29. O'Riordan C. 6. Watts K.	2. Cotter B. 18. Craig M. 11. Jalo F. 15. Lofthouse K. 50. Nwakali K. 5. Pines D. 12. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
Monk G.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, N'Lundulu D. ⚽,
8', Watters M. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
16', Humphrys S. 🟨,
17', Gent G. 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Humphrys S. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Njoku B. 🟨,
51', Russell J. 🟨,
66', Njoku B. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
71', Bennett L. 🟨,
75', Loft R. 🟨,
78', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
90', Brophy J. ↓, Watts K. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Barnsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barnsley is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.5:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
09.11.24	Peterborough United - Cambridge United	6:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.11.24	Cambridge United - Chelsea U21	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Woking - Cambridge United	0:1 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Cambridge United - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Stevenage Borough - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWWWW
- Barnsley FC
English League One
08.11.24	Barnsley - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Port Vale - Barnsley	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Barnsley - Doncaster Rovers	1:3 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Barnsley - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.03.24	Barnsley - Cambridge United	0:2
03.10.23	Cambridge United - Barnsley	0:4
11.02.23	Barnsley - Cambridge United	2:0
17.09.22	Cambridge United - Barnsley	0:3

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