The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 27.1%
Draw 29%
Bolton Wanderers 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
29.8%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
29.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Bolton will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Stevenage (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
1. Marschall F. (G) 17. Pattenden J. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 16. Freestone L. 18. White H. 8. Phillips D. 11. Roberts J. 23. Thompson L. 30. Lubala B. 19. Reid J.
1. Bonham J. (G) 18. Toal E. (C) 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. 14. Osei-Tutu J. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Simons X. 25. Conway M. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 10. Dalby S. 48. Burstow M.
Substitutes
13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 20. Campbell C. 7. Cornick H. 33. Doherty R. 10. Kemp D. 44. Patterson P. 6. Sweeney D.
29. Christie C. 22. Dempsey K. 21. Erhahon E. 11. Gale T. 23. Harrington D. (G) 45. McAtee J. 16. Morley A.
Coaches
Revell A.
Schumacher S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
58', Simons X. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
68', Thompson L. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
68', Lubala B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
73', Conway M. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
77', Reid J. ↓, Cornick H. ↑,
83', Johnston G. 🟨,
88', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0.
Stevenage is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bolton is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Stevenage may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
Thompson L.
(Inactive)
Young J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Gale T.
(Inactive)
McAtee J.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Outrights of English League One for now
Stevenage: 2.21%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Stevenage
7
2
3
2
11:8
3
9
Last Results with these Odds
Stevenage Borough - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.56%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.