Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Kingfield Stadium (Woking)


	Woking		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.1
	3.2	3.5	2.15
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.32	3.35	2.19
	3.29	3.3	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.25
	3.25	3.55	2.13	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (5.43)	3.44 ↓ (3.88)	2.16 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
29.2%

Draw
27.4%

Cambridge United
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

24.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Woking's performance.

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cambridge United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Woking that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cambridge United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Woking - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Woking will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Jaaskelainen W. (G) 16. Akinola O. 6. Andrews J. 17. Beautyman H. 15. Chicksen A. 35. Dyche M. 27. Kelly-Evans D. (C) 11. Lewis D. 14. Moore D. 2. Moss D. 5. Odusina T.	27. Reyes V. (G) 2. Bennett L. 7. Brophy J. 4. Digby P. 26. Gibbons J. 10. Kachunga E. 11. Kaikai S. 5. Morrison M. 9. N'Lundulu D. 15. Okedina J. 14. Smith K.
Substitutes
23. Anderson J. 18. Conte R. 8. Gorman D. 9. Kendall C. . Stretton J. 10. Walker L. . Ward M. 28. Webber O. (G) 21. Wynter B.	3. Andrew D. 24. Cousins J. 45. Emmanuel M. L. 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 34. Njoku B. 1. Stevens J. (G) 6. Watts K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Moss D. 🟨,
22', Lewis D. 🟨,
22', Lewis D. ↓, Conte R. ↑,
41', Conte R. 🟨,
42', Kachunga E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Okedina J. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
66', Kelly-Evans D. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Brophy J. ⚽,
78', Akinola O. ↓, Gorman D. ↑,
83', Digby P. ↓, Watts K. ↑,
83', Kachunga E. ↓, Cousins J. ↑,
84', Kelly-Evans D. ↓, Kendall C. ↑,
84', Moore D. ↓, Stretton J. ↑,
84', Conte R. ↓, Ward M. ↑,
87', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
90+4', Andrew D. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Cambridge is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Woking won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Woking won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League
26.10.24	Woking - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Solihull Moors - Woking	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Tamworth - Woking	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Woking - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
English National League
05.10.24	Woking - York City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWT
- Cambridge United
English League One
26.10.24	Cambridge United - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Stevenage Borough - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Cambridge United - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Exeter City - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
01.10.24	Cambridge United - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.17	Woking - Cambridge United	0:0
English National League
10.04.14	Woking - Cambridge United	0:3
23.11.13	Cambridge United - Woking	2:0
09.03.13	Cambridge United - Woking	1:0
09.10.12	Woking - Cambridge United	2:1

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