The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 41.8%
Draw 30.1%
Crewe Alexandra 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
28.5%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
28.2%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Cambridge United - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Crewe (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 5. Morrison M. 6. Watts K. 3. Purrington B. 8. Smith K. 38. Hoddle G. 7. Brophy J. 27. McConnell G. 15. Mayor A. 9. Appere L.
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 16. Golding J. 3. Hutchinson R. 14. Finney C. 8. Thomas C. (C) 26. O'Reilly T. 19. Lunt O. 20. Agius C. 36. Tezgel E.
Substitutes
22. Bradshaw Z. 26. Gibbons J. 25. Hughes B. (G) 23. Jobe M. 10. Kachunga E. 11. Kaikai S. 14. Knight B.
34. Armstrong O. 22. Croker P. 24. March J. 4. Mingi J. J. 31. Moult L. 15. Rankine D. 13. Waller S. (G)
Coaches
Harris N.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Golding J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
35', Morrison M. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
37', Smith K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Appere L. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
54', 0 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
62', Bennett L. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
69', McConnell G. ↓, Knight B. ↑,
82', Moult L. ↓, March T. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Jobe M. ⚽,
90+5', Lunt O. 🟨,
90+6', March T. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, Knight B. (Pen),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2.
Cambridge is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Crewe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cambridge could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Cambridge: Ball D.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lavery S.
(Hamstring Injury)
McLoughlin S.
(Inactive)
Mpanzu P.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Crewe: March J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
Sanders M. H.
(Yellow Cards)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Ibsen Rossi Z.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Calf Injury)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Cambridge United - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.88%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Eastwood J. (G) 
McConnell G. 
Appere L. 
Connolly J. 
Kachunga E. 
Kaikai S. 
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