The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 39.5%
Draw 27.6%
Chesterfield 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
26.8%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
26.8%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Crewe Alexandra - Chesterfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 16. Golding J. 3. Hutchinson R. 6. Sanders M. H. 8. Thomas C. (C) 26. O'Reilly T. 19. Lunt O. 20. Agius C. 36. Tezgel E.
1. Hemming Z. (G) 30. Tanton D. 22. Dunkley C. (C) 6. McFadzean K. 19. Gordon L. 4. Naylor T. 13. Fleck J. 27. Darcy R. 24. Markanday D. 28. Berry-McNally J. 10. Bonis L.
Substitutes
22. Croker P. 14. Finney C. 17. Holicek M. 4. Mingi J. J. 31. Moult L. 15. Rankine D. 13. Waller S. (G)
23. Boot R. (G) 20. Daley-Campbell V. 25. Dickson W. 44. Donacien J. 11. Duffy D. 3. Lewis A. 7. Mandeville L.
Coaches
Bell L.
Cook P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Berry-McNally J. ⚽, Bonis L. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Bonis L. ⚽, Markanday D. (A),
34', Dunkley C. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Tezgel E. (Pen),
40', Golding J. 🟨,
45+2', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
45+4', Connolly J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 2, Agius C. ⚽, Tezgel E. (A),
64', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
65', Dunkley C. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Markanday D. ⚽,
68', Tanton D. 🟨,
69', 3 - 3, Connolly J. ⚽, Sanders M. H. (A),
70', Darcy R. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
76', Thomas C. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
76', O'Reilly T. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
80', Hemming Z. 🟨,
87', Agius C. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
87', Bonis L. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 4.
Crewe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Chesterfield has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Crewe: March J.
(Inactive)
Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Dibley-Dias M.
(Knee Injury)
Dobra A.
(Inactive)
Elliott G.
(Inactive)
Stirk R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Injury)
Lankester J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Grigg W.
(Inactive)
Lewis A.
(Inactive)
Williams T.
(Surgery)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 2.2:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.98%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Chesterfield - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.26%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Booth T. (G) 
Connolly J. 
Golding J. 
Tanton D. 
Dunkley C. (C) 
Gordon L. 
Bonis L. 
Holicek M. 
Donacien J. 
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